Everyone else on tv and the interwebs seems to be picking this weekend’s slate of games against the spread and I’m just as if not smarter than all these motherfuckers so I figure I should get in the game myself, here’s my picks for Wild Card Weekend:
Kansas City +1 @ Indy (Sat 1:35pm PST)
The first game of the weekend is also probably the toughest call, Indy giving 1 point at home is basically Vegas just throwing their hands up in the air and saying “fuck it, you guys figure it out”. On one side you have an amazingly inconsistent Colts team with (a wildly overrated) Andrew Luck at the helm. No other team benifited more from the Patriots breaking the Texans sole on MNF towards the end of last season than Indianapolis. If there were another half decent team in the AFC South the Colts probably wouldn’t even be here. However picking Andy Reid and Alex Smith on the road in the playoffs is kind of a terrifying proposition since you know, Andy Reid will be in charge of clock management. In the end on this one I think the loss of Reggie Wayne earlier this season is going to kill them in this game and the Chiefs should lean heavily on Jamaal Charles and their Defense.
Gun to my head I think Jam Chuck carries the Chiefs offense, lets Alex Smith do his minimalist QB thing and take any time management issues out of Big Red’s hands by grinding out clock on the ground. The pick if I had to: Chiefs + 1
New Orleans @ Philly – 2.5 (5:10pm PST)
The Saints have a tough time playing on the road. Charlie Kelly’s Eagles are fahkin rollin along right now. The game is in Philladelphia and the weather should be just alright saturday. It’s going to be cold, around 20 at kickoff, but should be snow and relatively wind free. Plus Shady McCoy has a championship belt.
Got to believe that No Huddle No Mercy allows Shady to put off our rock, paper, scissors title belt unification match for the ages another week. The Pick: Eagles – 2.5
San Diego +7 @ Cincinnati (Sun 10am PST)
I love the Chargers to win this game outright for the same reason I fully expected them to lose last week to KC (and boy howdy did they ever try to lose to Andy Reid’s JV Squad), its the San Diego Chargers. They sabotage themselves in games they’re supposed to win and somehow pull out Ws when absolutely nobody expects it. This is exactly who they’ve been in the Phil Rivers Era. I know Cinnci is a ball hawking Defense and that they crank that D up a notch at home. I am aware that they went undefeated at home this season and that it will be what meteorologists refer to as cold as balls Sunday afternoon in the Queen City but this is EXACTLY the kind of game the Chargers win. And does anybody really trust Marvin Lewis and the Red Rocket in a big game? When was the last time anyone saw the Bengles (or any key component of their current roster) win or even make a significant (positive) play in a huge game? I got nothing.
Despite all the evidence pointing the other way my pick here is: Chargers +7 (+225 on the M/L is worth a thought as well)
San Fransisco – 3 @ Green Bay (1:35pm PST)
Man oh man. The NFL is closing out the Wildcard Weekend with a fucking bang. And by bang I mean what is predicted to be one of the colder games in recent memory, with a high of FIVE and a low of MINUS TWENTY FOUR! I had to spell those numbers out because I wanted to make sure everyone understood that wasn’t some sort of typo. Kickoff for this game is set for 3:35pm local time and the sun will be gone dragging with it whatever little warmth it was providing. Its always going to be tempting to hammer GB catching three points at home with Aaron Rodgers. Its even more tempting when you factor in a California team traveling to those kinds of temps. But the thing is at those temps all advantage for being a cold weather team is fucking scrubbed. At those temps its just fucking cold no matter whom you are. Also its worth factoring in that fresh break on ARodges collar bone is going to sting like a mother in this cold. Once you factor in the weather this game should come down to Frank Gore and Eddie Lacy bashing into the opponents defense. While its always difficult to pick against the Packers at Lambeau but they arent unbeatable in playoffs at home as history has shown us.
The Packers come riding in hot after that Chicago win but I have a strange feeling that Frank Gore will end up as a battering ram and SanFran’s D tends to travel pretty well. Yay area rejoice The Pick: 49ers -3